West Africa EBOV epidemic
Stadler T, Kühnert D, Rasmussen DA, du Plessis L.
Insights into the Early Epidemic Spread of Ebola in Sierra Leone Provided by Viral Sequence Data.
PLOS Currents Outbreaks. 2014 Oct 6. Edition 1.
DOI: external page 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.02bc6d927ecee7bbd33532ec8ba6a25f
Software
Models for Bayesian analyses
All Bayesian analyses were performed within BEAST 2. The BD model is available as the birth-death serial skyline model within the BEAST 2 add-on external page bdsky. The BDSIR model is available within the BEAST 2 add-on external page phylodynamics. The other models used for Bayesian analyses (BDsa, BDEI and coalSEIR) will become available within the BEAST 2 add-on phylodynamics shortly. Please contact us if you want to use them right away!
Models for maximum likelihood analyses
All of the models we used for maximum-likelihood analyses (BD, BDEI, BDss) are available within the latest versions of our R-packages external page TreeSim and external page TreePar. Scripts for running the maximum likelihood analyses are available on external page github.com/cevo-public.
News coverage
The paper attracted quite a lot of attention from the news media. Links to all the news items about this research (that we know of) are below. (Last updated 17 October 2014).

German:
- ETH-Life: Die Mathematik der Ebola-Epidemie
- Tages-Anzeiger: external page ETH-Forscher errechnen das wahre Ausmass der Ebola-Epidemie
- SRF: external page Jeder Ebola-Infizierte steckt zwei weitere Menschen an (article and interview)
- Blick: external page So rasch verbreitet sich das Ebola-Virus
- TagesWoche: external page Schweizer Forscher berechnen Ebola-Epidemie aus Gendaten
- Radio24: external page http://www.radio24.ch/podcast/download/1620638.mp3 (interview only)
- Der Standard: external page Epidemie: Mathematik von Ebola (Austria)
- Bayern 2 Radio: external page http://www.br.de/radio/bayern2/programmkalender/sendung897984.html (Interview only, Germany)
- Huffington Post: external page Die Mathematik zeigt, warum wir Ebola besiegen können (Germany)
- Deutschland Radio Kultur: external page http://ondemand-mp3.dradio.de/file/dradio/2014/10/13/drk_20141013_1234_0b11a6d5.mp3 (Interview only, Germany)
- Basler Zeitung: external page ETH-Forscher errechnen das wahre Ausmass der Ebola-Epidemie
- Aargauer Zeitung: external page Schweizer Forscher berechnen Ebola-Epidemie aus Gendaten
- DocCheck News: external page Ebola: Die Mathematik der Epidemie
English:
- ETH-Life: The mathematics behind the Ebola epidemic
- The Local: external page Swiss study calls for five-day Ebola quarantine
- Swissinfo: external page Three-day Ebola quarantine judged ‘too short’
- Deccan Chronicle: external page Sierra Leone Ebola lockdown was too short: Swiss research (India)
- IOL news: external page Sierra Leone Ebola lockdown ‘too short’ (South Africa)
- MedicalResearch.com: external page Ebola: Genetic Data Helps Predict Epidemic’s Spread
- MedicalXpress: external page Sierra Leone Ebola lockdown was too short: Swiss research
- Science Codex: external page The mathematics behind the Ebola epidemic
- Epoch Times: external page New Math Shows ‘True Scale’ of Ebola Outbreak
- The National: external page Sierra Leone Ebola lockdown too short: Swiss research (UAE)
- NDTV: external page How Maths Can Help Curb Ebola Epidemic
- The Health Site: external page Latest Ebola News: Swiss researchers to contain Ebola through Maths
- DPA Magazine: external page British company races to help contain Ebola
- Greater Zürich Area: external page Zurich researchers assess Ebola epidemic
- International Reporter: external page How Maths Can Help Curb Ebola Epidemic
- Brightsurf.com: external page The mathematics behind the Ebola epidemic
French:
- Radio Télévision Suisse: external page Des chercheurs de l'EPFZ modélisent l'épidémie d'Ebola en Sierra Leone
- Arcinfo: external page Ebola mathématisé par des chercheurs de l'EPFZ
- 20 minutes: external page Des chercheurs suisses modélisent l'épidémie
- Le Soir: external page Ebola: le confinement en Sierra Leone a été trop court
- Les Echos: external page Ebola:des chercheurs suisses tentent de modéliser la progression de l’épidémie
- SciDevNet: external page Un modèle mathématique pour calculer la propagation d'Ebola
Italian
- Corriere del Ticino: external page ETH, scoperto l'albero genealogico di ebola